IMD : September 2023 Monthly Outlook

Rainfall – The country as a whole is most likely to be normal (91-109 % of the Long Period Average (LPA)).
- Below normal rainfall is most likely over most areas of the Kharif crops.
- Normal to above normal rainfall is likely over many areas of northeast India, adjoining east India, foothills of Himalayas and some areas of east-central and south peninsular India.
Temperature – Above normal maximum temperatures are likely over most parts of the country, except over some areas in south peninsular India and some pockets of west central India, where normal to below normal maximum temperatures are likely.
Currently, weak El Niño conditions are prevailing over the equatorial Pacific region.
El Niño conditions are likely to intensify further and continue up to early next year.